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How many countries will emerge from the US?
Related to country: United States

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By BERİL DEDEOĞLU:


Izvestia Today has reported that Professor Igor Panarin, the head of the Diplomatic Academy of Russia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, an expert about American-Russian relations and propaganda wars, said some 10 years ago that the US would face a huge economic crisis, and as his prophesy has been realized, he has become famous.

Of course, he wasn't the only one who evoked a possible crisis. For those who know something about capitalist teaching, it's not hard to predict future crises without giving a specific date.

Panarin has also focused on the future of the US. According to him, the global financial crisis will have terrible impacts and Obama will not be able to deal with it. Many companies will shut down; millions of Americans will lose their jobs, provoking social explosions. Panarin also believes that the secessionist tendencies of the American states will increase, as the federal government won't be able to provide the money to revitalize their economies and save their companies. Then, the US will be divided into six countries.

One of these will in the Pacific coast, which is home to a populous Chinese community, supported by China. Panarin probably believes China will benefit from the division of the US and that the Americans of Chinese origin will have more prosperous lives once they leave the union.

He also predicts that Hispanics of the southern states will join Mexico. Supposedly, the crisis will not have negative impacts on the Mexican economy and Hispanics will want to be attached to a country that they left without looking back. Texas, counting on its oil revenues, would declare its independence simply because Texans are anti-Obama. It's not known if there has ever been a state that declared its independence just because they were angry with their president.

The fourth secession will happen on the East Coast, where the inhabitants consider themselves not as rural Americans but as intellectual Europeans. Perhaps they will join the EU. Panarin also claimed that Native Americans will establish their own state, enjoying the "world's" support. Are there enough Native Americans to create a state, and who on earth would support them?

The sixth division will happen in the northern regions, supported by the cynical Canada. In brief, the current crisis will ruin the US, and China, Canada and some Europeans states will contribute to it. Who will abide if all of the world powers decide to divide the US?

But this scenario has a problem: Contrary to Russia, the US does not have too many provinces or citizens made "Americans" by force. Economic crises may reinforce centrifugal tendencies, but these will be much stronger in "aggregated" countries. There is, of course, a hypothetical division risk for the US: Throughout history, several powers, once believed eternal, such as the Roman or Ottoman Empires or the USSR, have fallen. But the division scenario, which is, who knows why, limited to six parts, can only happen if the entire world enters a period of radical changes.

Maybe this scenario demonstrates that Russia wishes to set off such an astonishing modification. Some Russians may be happy with the idea of the downfall of the US. They probably also believe that China, India, Pakistan and Russia will remain intact if that happens. But Russia owes its energy superiority and its partial coercive power to the US. As long as the US stays powerful, Putin can justify his "national chief" status, and conducting military maneuvers in Latin America or the deployment of missiles to Kaliningrad will be acceptable. Panarin is certainly aware of these realities. As a propaganda expert, maybe he simply wants to insinuate that it is Russia that faces a real and close danger of division.


todayszaman


29 November 2008

November 29, 2008 | 2:57 PM Comments  1 comments

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